how it works
- expected per trade = size x (win rate x average win - (1 - win rate) x average loss).
- hypothetical month = expected per trade x trades per month.
- break-even win rate = average loss divided by (average win + average loss).
questions
is this what i will earn?
no. it is a hypothesis built from the numbers you type. a trader's past win rate does not repeat on demand, and a copied trade fills at a slightly different price.
where do i find a trader's win rate?
on the trader's public page on copy.top: realized pnl, win rate, median hold time and recent trades.
why does a low win rate still work sometimes?
because size of wins matters as much as their number. a trader who wins 30 % of the time can be ahead if the wins are three times larger than the losses.