the state of copy trading on fomo and pumpfun

42.1% of the 3,400 active traders ended the 30 days with a positive realized pnl. one in ten made more than $15,324, one in ten lost more than $22,355. together, winners realized $20.5M and losers lost $25.5M.

the top 1% of traders took 27.5% of all realized profits. the top 10% took 73.7%. for someone who copies, picking a trader at random is a losing bet: the few who carry the profits are the ones worth finding.

	active traders	made money	median pnl	median win rate	median hold	trades / 30 d
fomo	1,891	27.5%	-$1,965	27.3%	40 min	43
pumpfun	1,509	60.5%	$2,120	36.3%	4 min	230

pumpfun traders hold for 4 min and close about 230 trades a month. fomo traders hold for 40 min and close about 43. they are not the same kind of trader, and the gap in results reflects that.

the median win rate is 31.7%: a typical trader loses on two trades out of three. yet 75.8% of the traders who made money win less than half of their trades. on memecoins, results come from the size of a few wins, not from being right often.

46.5% of traders sell more than half of their positions within 10 minutes. they are the most profitable group: 62.1% made money, against 28.8% of those who hold longer. it is also the trap: a copy always fills after the original trade, so a trader who is in and out within a minute exits before a copier can follow.

share of traders who made money, by how long they hold

among the 100 most followed traders, 27% made money over the 30 days, against 42.6% for everyone else. their median realized pnl was -$8,822. a large following says a trader is visible, not that they are worth copying.

the eight traders with the highest realized pnl over 30 days on each platform, with their 30 day curve.

fomo

1

rasmr61% wins · 1.6 h hold

$171.9k

2

Prometheus Unchained17% wins · 14 h hold

$94.0k

3

Lingard19% wins · 25 min hold

$89.3k

4

FreshUpperHyena91% wins · 10 sec hold

$85.0k

5

prevaile45% wins · 2 min hold

$82.0k

6

Chicken Joe20% wins · 11.4 h hold

$69.9k

7

GrandSafeAnt47% wins · 46 min hold

$54.7k

8

Grant Liu79% wins · 3 min hold

$54.5k

pumpfun

1

supermandev97% wins · 0 sec hold

$798.9k

2

NateNateNateNat95% wins · 2 sec hold

$445.9k

3

turbosalmonsoli95% wins · 2 sec hold

$318.8k

4

alphaprophet96% wins · 2 sec hold

$285.9k

5

ShakespeareX98% wins · 2 sec hold

$253.1k

6

grok12_john96% wins · 4 sec hold

$219.1k

7

MintGarnetGamer65% wins · 23 sec hold

$190.4k

8

fascinater92% wins · 2 sec hold

$184.3k

the coins most often held today by the 300 traders with the highest realized pnl.

$

$mihaoSolana

16 traders

$

$DacityCoinSolana

10 traders

$

$DacityCoinSolana

7 traders

$

$RoccoSolana

7 traders

$

$DACITYSolana

6 traders

$

$PUMPSolana

6 traders

$

$OGCALLERSSolana

6 traders

$

$ANTHROPICSolana

5 traders

$

$SPCXSolana

5 traders

$

$NVDAxSolana

5 traders

$

$DACSolana

5 traders

$

$STONKSolana

5 traders

share of active traders who traded on each chain during the period. a trader can be on several.